Friday, January 3, 2014

PART 8: The Torn Social Safety Net in America and the New Working Poor




PART 8: The Torn Social Safety Net in America and the New Working Poor


By Allen Stansbury, Senior Associate, Center for Community Futures, Berkeley, CA

As America’s middle class income declined they are forced to turn to elsewhere for support and that place is usually the Federal and State government social safety net. Not only have they turned to the government’s safety net, but also to local non-profit service providers and local charities. While in some instances, the need has doubled in the last few years the global recession has caused declines in government funding for both direct and indirect services and decreases in the endowments of charitable organizations.

The turn-about from middle class income to poverty was a long time coming but when the housing bubble burst and global financial recession fully set-in the middle class felt its full affect: loss of jobs meant loss of wages and benefits, soon housing, medical and food were in short supply each loss feeding the other in a downward spiral sending more people into the social safety net in America.

As unemployment hit 8-12% payouts from Unemployment Insurance more than doubled resulting from the huge impact of the global recession on job retention and job creation.  Unemployment insurance claims peaked in 2010 and since there has been a steady, albeit, a slow decline in the weekly claim reports. Long term (more than 27 weeks) peak at 43.8% of all unemployment claims in 2010.  But, many claims have been longer, much longer showing the degree and extent of the global financial recession particularly on the middle class.

The 2008 farm bill renamed the Food Stamp Program as the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, or SNAP has experienced a huge increase in the number of people eligible for this program especially those who were middle class.  Imagine today that 1 of 7 Americans (47 million) are surviving on food stamps where before in 2000 about 17 million, mostly the poor needing this.[1]  Now, communities and neighborhoods once thought to be solid middle and upper income, immune from economic downturns have turned to food stamps as their primary source of food.

Take for instance Staten Island, NY.  In the fall of 2012 the local Staten Island newspaper, SILive reported “The 47,131 Islanders who got help paying for groceries (but no other form of assistance) represented a quadrupling since June, 2000, when 10,263 Islanders received the benefit.”  Staten Island is, or was, thought to be a very middle class New York City borough of about 470,000. 

By far the majority of SNAP recipients are working, not those on welfare or retired.  Many of these are working several minimum wage jobs, just to live day to day.   To show how little income is being made, to qualify for SNAP  recipient’s annual household income for one must be less than $1,211 per month; less than $1,640 for a household of two; $2,069 for three people and $2,498 per month if four people live in the household (as of October 1, 2012).  Those on social security are automatically eligible.

For most middle income families with children this income level is not enough to feed a family. Children attending public schools are eligible for the USDA lunch program. Twenty percent of households with children are “food insecure” according to USDA surveys.  During 2010-11 more than half of fourth-graders nationwide (52 %) qualify for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance school lunch program.

Already the safety net of SNAP, unemployment insurance and other programs are stretched to the limit. Programs such as Welfare to Work require a pool of jobs in order that it is successful. Given the job creation climate since 2007 many recipients have become ineligible.  Consequently, the new working poor have few resources to fall back on, making the former middle class even poorer.

In addition to the increased need of the new working poor for Federal programs there is also an equally huge demand for programs offered by America’s non-profit human service providers. Many of not most are slicing services to those in need in the face of widespread cuts in both state and federal government financial support.

Urban Institute’s 2009 survey of about 3500 non-profit (IRS 501c.3) government contracted service providers found that cutbacks of federal, state and local government contracts, along with reductions in contributions and investment income, and charity donations due to the global recession caused these agencies to scale back their operations.  Their published report concluded that the decline in funds caused a “hollowing of organizational capacity that may take years to rebuild, if ever.”  They had to cut back services like food, job training, and child care while demand for these services continues to rise.

The UI survey found 82 % of the human service non-profits participating in the survey reported that they scaled back their operations to the point that: 21 % reduced programs or services; 17 % served fewer people; 50 % froze or reduced employees’ salaries; 39 % drew down their reserves; 23 % reduced health insurance, retirement contributions, and other employee benefits; and 22 % borrowed or increased lines of credit.

Another recent study published by the Urban Institute clearly confirms that the social safety net is more than every needed many middle class families that have lost jobs or found lower paying jobs, or have lost their assets resulting from the global recession.  However, with the huge debt that the US government undertook bailing out the banks and financial institutions, the Troubled Asset Relief Program’s (TARP) program and the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRP) stimulus package these programs are either being eliminated or unable to meet the demand.  The consequence to the US middle class is that there are practically no or very few safety net programs to fall back on thus causing them to sink further into poverty.

Part 8: The Dots…Selected Safety Net Trends in the US: 1980-2010
1.      Since 1969 dependence on government benefits has more than doubled. In 2009, all government benefits accounts for 17.6% of personal income according to the NY Times Geography of Government Benefits.
·        Additionally, the NY Times found that:
o   Unemployment insurance percent of personal income more than doubled from .5% to 1.1% between 1979-2009
o   Medicare had the largest growth percentage in personal income: 1.5% in 1979, increasing to 4.1% in 2009
o   Medicaid increased from 1.1% to 3.1% between 1979-2009
o   In 1979 Social Security benefits was of personal income 5% and 2009 it stood at 5.6% of personal income
o   In 1979 income support (food stamps) was 1.4% declining until 1999 then doubled to 2.9% in 2009.
o   Veterans benefits were .7% of personal income declining to .4% between 1979 and 2009
·        A study of the Safety Net by the Urban Institute found that the majority of unemployed families had at least one family member enrolled in Medicaid in both 2005 and 2009 an increase resulting from the global recession of 2007-09.
·        This same UI study also found that there was 5 percentage point increase in public assistance receipt for two-parent families between 2005 and 2009 resulting from the global recession of 2007-09.
2.      The official poverty rate of elderly persons was 37.1 %, in 1959, more than twice the 17.4 % rate for adults 18 to 64. By 1999, the rate for the elderly had fallen to 7.0 %, lower than the 9.1 % rate for adults.
3.      Social Security, turns78 in 2013, benefits 57 million Americans as the single most important source of income for its elderly beneficiaries, contributing on average two-thirds of income for recipients over age 65. 
·        For more than one-third of them, Social Security constitutes 90 percent or more of income. (see Chart 1 below).
·        Without Social Security, 44% of the elderly in the US would be classified as poor compared to the 9% that currently are classified.
4.      Welfare to Work (otherwise known as PRWORA) replaced cash assistance to the poor with training and job placements in 1996.
·        WTW implementation caused almost a 50% decrease in those receiving welfare by the end 2001.
·        In 1985 14% of low-income families with children received cash payments through welfare, 1995 this dropped to 11.5%. After WTW, this dropped to 7% in 2003, half of 1985.
·        However, for WTW to work requires that there are available jobs and as a result of the collapse of the housing bubble and the global financial recession jobs were very difficult to find for those in the program, thus making them ineligible for the program.
5.      Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF)
·        Rates of public assistance, mostly Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) recipients among all unemployed families with children actually declined for both low-work[2] and more-work families.
·        24 % of low-work unemployed families received public assistance in 2009 compared with 29 % in 2005.
·        At the same time, public assistance increased among two-parent family recipients between 2005 at 26.7% and 2009 at 49.7%. 
·        The declines in public assistance receipt likely stem from longer-term trends of lower take-up rates and tougher enrollment procedures in many states. They also reflect higher receipt of unemployment benefits. Unemployment benefits generally far exceed public assistance benefits, and families with unemployment benefits would not also qualify for public assistance in most states.
6.      Unemployment Insurance – table below shows the total number of those on unemployment insurance between January 2007 and January 2012.[4] See chart 4 below of those unemployed 27 months or more. 


7.      Food and Nutrition
·        USDA[4] has showed a steady rise in food insecurity in the US between 1998 and today:
o   In 1998 11.8 % or 12,188,000 households in the US experienced food insecurity, in 2011 it was 14.9% or 17,853, 000 households.
o   Food insecurity in households with children is 20.6% in 2011, up from 14.8% in 1999.
o   Food insecurity means that meals are missed or foregone in order to pay for something else. A missed meal by children causes a major distraction away from school and their studies or if enough meals are missed malnutrition sets in.
·        By the end of 2011 nearly 47 million or about 1 in 7 (over 14%) Americans were receiving SNAP benefits. This is nearly a 50% increase from October 2008. In Mississippi more than 20% lived on food stamps in 2008.[5] 
o   This trend continued through the middle of 2012 with a record expenditure of $75.6 billion for FY2010-11 according to the USDA.
o   At the end of 2001 nearly 19 million American’s were participating in the Food Stamp Assistance program (SNAP)
·        The fraction of families receiving SNAP was higher in 2009 than in 2005. Most of the increase occurred among unemployed families with more work (39 % in 2005 compared with 47 % in 2009).[6]
·        Families with less than 26 weeks of work frequently received SNAP in 2005 and 2009. The increase in enrollment among higher work families could reflect the decline in their income (from $26,270 in 2005 to $24,525 in 2009), but also broader acceptance of this support among working families.[7]
Chart 2:  Monthly Participation in the SNAP food stamp program 1990-2012 actual and 2012-2020 projected
·        USDA trends analysis shows that 1980 Supplemental Nutrition Assistance served 9.9 million children, 1994 before welfare to work went into effect 14.4 million children benefited; in 2000 this was now 8.7 million by 2008 this had rebound to 13.3 million on track for 15 million. And further
o   During 2006-7 school years, 17 million students received subsidized meals under the school lunch program, during school year 2010-11 this number rose to 21 million, nearly 25%.
o   During 2010-11 for the first time, more than half of fourth-graders nationwide (52 percent) qualify for the lunch program.
8.      Child Care and Development funds  (CCDF) and AARP child tax credit allowance
·        According to the Urban Institute study on the Social Safety Net released in 2011 it found that there was a decline in child care assistance to both low and moderate income families. In 2005 10.5% of all families received this assistance but in 2009 it declined to 7.9% (see chart 5).[8]
9.      Demands for services from non-profit human service providers are way up while at the same time resources are in short supply according to the Urban Institute’s 2010 report on Non-Profit Government Contracting (see Chart 3 below).
·        Human service providers surveyed in the report were large (i.e. Red Cross) and small local organizations.
·        Besides cuts in their government contracts or loss of contracts or to provide services, most organizations reported loss of revenues from individual, corporate, and foundation donors, but also from investment income and fees due to the huge impact of the global recession.
10.      Consequences of the torn safety net on the US middle class according to the Urban Institute[9]
·        Since the start of the global financial meltdown, entitlements such as social security and Medicare are now under serious consideration by the US Congress for decrease benefits to be altogether eliminated.
·        A dramatically larger share received a refundable child tax credit in 2009 than in 2005, as a result of the ARRA extension of refundability to lower-income taxpayers. However, since then this program has expired leaving families either forgoing employment to provide their own child care or paying this and not some other necessity (i.e. health and medical premiums).
·        The federal extensions of unemployment benefits continued through 2011, but the extension beyond this period was eliminated in the debt ceiling legislation.
·        The expanded child tax credit is scheduled to expire at the end of 2012, returning to a $500 credit and much lower levels of refundability.

Chart 3: Percentage of Elderly relying on Social Security in 2012

Chart 4: Impact of Federal Budget Cuts on Non-Profit Human Service Providers in 2009 (Urban Institute)

Chart 6: One and Two Parent Low-Work Families, percentage of benefits 2005 and 2009
Chart 7: Trends in Entitlements (2008-2012) -WSJ


 [1] Congressional Budget Office, April 19, 2012 (http://www.cbo.gov/publication/43173)
[2] Low work families eligibility is 200% of Federal Poverty Level (FPL), Low work is at least one parent working less than 26 weeks during the year.
[3] US Department of Labor Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for 2007-2012
[5] Congressional Budget Office, April 19, 2012 (http://www.cbo.gov/publication/43173)
[7] ibid
[9] Ibid



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